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Thursday, August 28, 2014

28 August 2014 -

Inattention or inability; the outcome is the same

During the year I attended Air Force War College at Maxwell Air Force Base, AL,  we discussed how successful national foreign policy strategy must be based on a clear national vision of what America should be in the world, what our compelling interests are, and how determined we are to protect those interests.  Since World War Two, successful presidents have prioritized our compelling national interests based on the circumstances of the era; but because they followed the same general decision-making structure, most of the successes have been bipartisan. 

At War College, we discussed at length how a workable international strategy, to include the military portion, must tie objectives specifically to the presidents’ vision and doctrine.  The military then builds a number of operational plans—campaign plans—to help achieve those objectives if called upon.  Overall military manning, training, and equipment levels are then funded to successfully execute those plans.
   
The national command authority, guided by an engaged president and supported by our intelligence community’s assessments of world events, constantly reviews, adjusts and refines the nation’s vision, doctrine and national strategy.   In turn, our military’s operational plans and structure are adjusted to meet our nation’s response to world events.  The key to success in international affairs is constant engagement in the professional process, and faithful adherence to its proven methods of decision-making.  As they say in the business:  the plan is nothing; planning is everything. 

In the last twenty years, thousands of senior military officers and civilians have been trained in our military and diplomatic strategic-level schools.  Thousands of Americans now in the military and State Department can build a legitimate diplomatic/military/economic strategy to reinvigorate alliances, to defeat Islamic jihadists, to stop Russian and Chinese adventurism in Eastern Europe and the Far East, to stop Iran’s nuclear program, and to coerce despots everywhere to rein in their challenges to U.S. interests.  This high level of expert strategic and operational planning has been the hallmark of U.S. international success since World War Two.  Not to give planners something to base their efforts upon is foolhardy and dangerous, and has been a singular point of failure of a number of administrations. 

Today the failure rests with the President.  In six years, he has not produced a clear vision or any kind of international doctrine that could enable strategic planners to build worthwhile plans.   

No doctrine.  No strategy.  No military or diplomatic focus.  No bipartisan support.  No way to determine success.  

The proof is obvious.  The president half-heartedly led and then abandoned wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.  Regional peace has completely evaporated and U.S. interests have been quashed in both regions.  Mr. Obama’s  earlier, pointless bombing campaign in Libya was well executed, but the unintended consequence of getting rid of Gadhafi was Islamic power mongers taking over.  The debacle in Benghazi resulted from these jihadists’ rise to power. 

The President’s lifeless leadership in NATO has allowed Turkey to drift toward radicalism and to abandon its role as a moderating influence in the Levant.  He shamelessly abandoned Eastern Europe to its own devices, inviting Russia’s President Putin to seize the Crimea and dominate Eastern Ukraine.  In the Far East, the President’s lack of support for our Asian allies allows China to treat the South China Sea as its sovereign lake.

Finally, the President’s inability to recognize that the massive migration of illegal immigrants across our southern border is a strategic threat to the sovereignty of the United States shows that he simply does not understand what is vital to U.S. long-term interests. 

The President has plenty of expert strategic and operational analysts and planners throughout our military and diplomatic departments to help him succeed on the international level.  They really want to help the President to succeed; it is part of their professional ethos.  Most of his political opponents also want him to succeed as our Commander-in-Chief and as the international representative of our sovereignty.  But, without a clear vision of what national interests need to be protected and why, strategic plans will go unwritten, allies will seek their own counsel and way forward, and determined enemies will rush into the international power vacuum. 

Worst of all, when, without vision, doctrine, or a well-constructed strategic plan, the President decides to hurriedly put “boots on the ground,” our soldiers will die. 

And for what?   

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